Mark’s First Maxim for Wall Street Denizens
My apologies friends. I have started this blog several times in the last few weeks or so. But every time I began outlining its content, my WIFF (Whitmore’s Indignation and Fulmination Factor) began to escalate uncontrollably. Since I have lived in a virtual 24/7 state of outrage since the government bailouts began last Fall, this was not a good thing. And unlike Dr. Evil, I do not have a Mr. Bigglesworth to stroke in order to reduce my frustration level.
But this missive could not be delayed any further, regardless of its health implications for moi. Maybe it was Citigroup having the audacity to tell its employees that the bank was actually profitable thus far this year (assuming of course you do not factor in the $300+ billion in toxic assets still on its books, the $45 billions in government funds it has received, its tax liabilities, and a variety of other trifling details). Perhaps it was the laser like focus upon which the public has directed its attention to the AIG bonus fiasco. At least $450 million (when properly characterized) in extra compensation appears to have been given to the geniuses that managed to put the company in a position in which it needed $160 billion in government aid simply to remain solvent. It also could have been the adroit display of verbal pugilism (even if some of it was below the belt) by Jon Stewart when CNBC personality/buffoon Jim Cramer came on his show last week.
Whatever the impetus, I am going to eschew my traditional outline (lest my WIFF go red-line), and let this be more of a stream of consciousness endeavor. Please bear with me.
Separating Wheat from Chaff
Back when I practiced law, I learned to make an important distinction. While I generally disdained the field, some of the most diligent, scrupulous and upstanding individuals I knew were attorneys. I have great respect and admiration for these people, and many are among my closest friends.
Similarly, I have family members and friends who are in both the financial services industry and real estate. While I have heaped great scorn upon these sectors as a whole, obviously there are really talented, earnest and hard-working individuals employed in these fields. I am fortunate enough to know many such people. Indeed, the long run health of our economy largely depends upon folks such as these transforming their industries. So please do not mistake my vitriol directed at the boneheads, scoundrels, loafers, scofflaws and boorish know-nothings who generally compose the financial sector of our economy as applying to any specific individuals who are employed therein (other than those I specify).
When Doing Something is Worse than Doing Nothing
When the financial crisis really began to pick up steam last Fall, a huge lie was perpetuated by policy-makers, pundits and financial executives alike: What was good for Wall Street was good for
The logic of this great lie was superficially sound. The financial sector of our economy had grown substantially over the last two decades. A greater percentage of stock market wealth was concentrated in that sector than had ever been the case in our history. A huge percentage of the population was employed in financial services, and many others were dependent upon the health of this industry.
So in comes Henry Paulson, scion of the Wall Street elite, and proposes that there might be some loose change in the sofas of the Treasury Department, say to the tune of $800 billion or so, that should be used to bail out all the poor financial institutions in tatters. Of course he argued that circumstances were so exigent that this massive program must be implemented immediately. There was no time for dispassionate reflection upon the specific merits of TARP, or worrying about how the money was going to be earmarked. No, action must be taken, as confidence was ebbing, and the credit markets desperately needed greasing. Moreover, Mr. Paulson represented that this money was actually an investment, or at worse a loan to Wall Street (in reality, funds used for TARP have already seen 30-35% losses that do not expect to be recouped according to Barron’s).
You see dear old Henry and most of the Wall Street executives continued to maintain that their impaired assets were artificially undervalued by a marketplace that had just gone crazy. Once the marketplace returned to normal, and asset prices resumed their lofty levels, the crisis would pass and the government could recoup its money.
But this was only part of a unified effort by republicans and democrats alike to save the likes of AIG, Bear Stearns, Citigroup, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac, Goldman Sachs, etc.
Hypocrisy, Moral Hazards and Social Injustices
I have discussed at length why I think it is bad policy-making to spend trillions of dollars trying to avert an unavoidable, and indeed necessary, recession (see Save (for) Yourself, Save the World). But let me focus my acrimony on how the bailouts for the financial sector are pure and simple just ethically repugnant.
First, for the financial services sector to aver that it is deserving of any government assistance is the height of hypocrisy. Without boring the reader ad nauseum with history, the titans of finance lobbied Congress tirelessly throughout the last 25 years for Congress to remove government oversight and regulations (many of which had been imposed as safeguards in the wake of the financial crisis which caused the Depression). Throughout this time period, the constant justification was that if government would simply “unshackle” the industry and let free markets work, the financial sector would be more efficient and everyone would make more money. And boy, did it work. Between 1981-2003 the financial services portion of the S&P 500 index grew three times more quickly than the rest of the index (which itself appreciated hugely). People were making more money than many ever thought possible (recall the priceless ETRADE commercial during the 2000 Superbowl – “he’s got money coming out the wazoo.”) For Wall Street, laissez-faire capitalism was the greatest thing ever.
Well, until it was not. Apparently the vaporization of mid-six figure plus bonuses cause investment bankers and their ilk to bust out their Marx-Engels readers and become rabid socialists! Wall Street executives went from being Masters of the Universe to hat-in-their-hand mendicants. But instead of seeking nickels and dimes, they begged for hundreds of billions of dollars collectively. They have been hoisted on their own petard, as the very oversights and regulations they removed could have prevented these idiots from taking speculative and leveraged positions that ultimately proved their undoing. But now, they ask, nay expect, you and me via Uncle Sam and all their chums in DC to bail them out by taking on all their bad investments and impaired assets. Needless to say, they are not getting much sympathy from yours truly.
Second, the bail out of financial institutions is beyond outrageous due to the moral hazard that is perpetuated in the marketplace. I have previously discussed the notion of the “Greenspan put” and its deleterious impact on asset markets and the economy (see From Whence We Came Part II). In brief, for almost a full decade now, the Fed via Mr. Magoo (aka Alan Greenspan) and “Helicopter Ben” Bernanke have been moving heaven and earth monetarily in an effort to keep their game of musical chairs going.
Wall Street figured out how to master this game very early on. They would speculate recklessly with all kinds of overpriced, often highly leveraged assets that were still going up in price (first tech stocks, then mortgage backed securities and credit derivatives). Wall Street firms would make billions and billions of dollars for themselves, their clients and their shareholders. Then these kooky, inflated assets would, as is always the case, decrease in price.
Now in a functioning capitalist economy, this is where the notion of “market discipline” would come into play. You see if someone in the late 90’s speculated that Beannie Babies would keep appreciating, they would have lost a lot of money. Hopefully they would have learned something about imprudence and act differently in the future. If not, they would eventually go bankrupt, while other economic actors survived. This is economic Darwinism, and I embrace it. The smart never lost money. The adaptable learn from their mistakes and avoid making the same ones in the future. The incompetent make the same mistakes and eventually do not have the resources to recklessly and foolishly speculate.
But in his sage-like wisdom, Greenspan determined that nobody on Wall Street, no matter how dim-witted, should have to suffer the consequences on their incompetence! Hence, whenever these over-priced assets in which Wall Street idiots had substantial investments began to deflate, Greenspan was there to artificially cut interest rates to zero, thereby insuring other assets would inflate absurdly. Wall Street was thus always bailed out from its own stupidity.
At least until last year. As I have said before, you can only keep stimulating an economy artificially before it no longer responds (the law of diminishing returns). This is where the game of musical chairs ends and everyone realizes that all the seats are taken. First Bear Stearns needs help. But by bailing out Bear Stearns, the government sent two very clear messages to Wall Street and its owners/investors: 1) we will shield you from your own past stupidity; and 2) as a precedent for the future, certain enterprises will be deemed to be too important to fail. Somehow Lehman must have been on the outs with DC insiders, as it was the only entity of any significance that was allowed to go bankrupt.
But instead of Bear Stearns being the precedent, it should have been Lehman. Companies fail all the time. People lose jobs. While it is justifiable for the government to provide need-based assistance to those affected individuals and families who are having difficulty sustaining themselves, it is not justifiable to extend corporate welfare to enterprises whose mean incomes oftentimes exceeded $300,000. The message sent simply encourages future speculation, as now there is virtual certainty that no matter how moronic/reckless their actions, financial institutions will be able to siphon tax dollars ad infinitum to cover up their losses.
Finally, any concept of social justice is done great violence by these bailouts. This is almost so obvious that it does not warrant elaboration. This is evident by the way in which the AIG bonus issue has sparked the collective ire of the nation with such ferocity (just today AIG’s CEO stated that some of its employees were receiving death threats).
But one thing makes my blood virtually boil. Thousands of individuals making six, seven, and even eight figure incomes will receive more in income that is attributable from taxpayer sponsored bailouts than they will pay in taxes. Think about that. Or maybe you should not, as I would hate to spread an offshoot of the WIFF virus. But seriously, how can any society in good conscious create the most expensive bailout program ever seen on earth in which its most wealthy citizens benefit so disproportionately???
This is among the most massive wealth redistribution plans ever seen on earth, yet until recently, no one seemed to give the fairness issues much attention. The spin-masters were initially successful in making this a program deemed necessary to save the economy. But now reality is beginning to hit. Namely, that the economy will not likely be saved by this, and that in the process we are providing the greatest degree of assistance to those who are most able to care for themselves financially.
I had one discussion with an extremely bright investment banker a couple of months ago in which my WIFF reached what may be heretofore unsurpassed levels. Our a wide-ranging debate related to the state of the economy and government actions in the face of our economic crisis. Now this is someone who is quite vocal in their opposition to most government support programs for welfare recipients, mentally ill individuals and the like. Yet he was arguing for the TARP program that doled out money to troubled financial institutions. When confronted with the apparent contradiction, he conceded that he had a “soft spot” for the bailout program. Well, few things warm my heart like knowing there will not be investment bankers deprived of purchasing Patek Phillippes as gifts to themselves for a year of great work!
Concerning Weak Retorts
Oh, you may hear nonsense like these bailouts and bonuses are needed to keep bright capable people that are the only ones that can get us out of this mess. I doubt if I am not the only one that realizes that these are the people that got us into this mess. Needless to say, I am not overly optimistic that they will deftly navigate financial waters going forward.
Moreover, this sounds like the most hollow threat I can imagine. I mean the implication of this counter argument is that if we do not continue to employ these morons in the financial services industry they will take their impressive skill sets elsewhere. Let’s think about this. Resumes noting one’s experience at: losing billions of dollars through idiotic, leveraged trades; managing a division that earned a -75% return; running a company that required more than $100 billion in government bailouts. These people will clearly be in high demand everywhere.
In fact, the only compelling thing I have read arguing for the TARP program and the Wall Street bailouts that have accompanied it has come from Barron’s gifted columnist Alan Abelson. He noted that hundreds of billions of dollars is actually a small price to pay in order to prevent the thousands of investment bankers and other financial service professionals from entering the workplace as teachers, nurses, engineers, or a wide variety of other occupations that really matter. We may be dodging a bullet there.